Here's a good Opensource writeup..
"Over the next 20-50 years, we can expect to see an increasing number of
technical innovations released initially as free software and open
source. Of the technical innovations that are initially released as
proprietary, we can expect an increasing number to be either undercut
and sidelined by rapidly innovating open alternatives, or else released
later as free software and open source by their creators to avoid being
undercut and sidelined. We can’t say proprietary software is
dead, and it’s likely to linger in one form or another for decades into
the future. But the patterns of significant bits through history brand
proprietary software as a less-than-healthy offshoot in the evolution of
software business models, and the trend for proprietary software from
the 1980’s to today is one of slow decline and increasing dependence on
free software and open source to survive. Some companies attribute their
success to proprietary software, but a deeper analysis tends to reveal
their true success lies in some combination of other business models
(support, services, integration, content, or hardware) that are
compatible with free software and open source licensing, so the
perceived effect of proprietary software licensing is a mirage.."
http://allisonrandal.com/2015/07/22/the-future-of-open-source/
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